Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.000597 0.000687 0.000783 0.000893 0.001013 0.001143 0.001291
2025-06-01 0.000443 0.000564 0.000702 0.000871 0.001069 0.001294 0.001565
2025-06-08 0.000356 0.000486 0.000642 0.000842 0.001087 0.001374 0.001734
2025-06-15 0.000301 0.000438 0.000611 0.000840 0.001131 0.001482 0.001934
2025-06-22 0.000259 0.000400 0.000585 0.000838 0.001169 0.001580 0.002120
2025-06-29 0.000222 0.000363 0.000555 0.000827 0.001193 0.001657 0.002280
2025-07-06 0.000190 0.000329 0.000525 0.000811 0.001206 0.001719 0.002419
2025-07-13 0.000174 0.000315 0.000521 0.000830 0.001265 0.001840 0.002638
2025-07-20 0.000158 0.000299 0.000514 0.000842 0.001315 0.001949 0.002841
2025-07-27 0.000138 0.000277 0.000493 0.000833 0.001333 0.002015 0.002988
2025-08-03 0.000120 0.000254 0.000469 0.000818 0.001340 0.002065 0.003114
2025-08-10 0.000110 0.000242 0.000463 0.000827 0.001383 0.002165 0.003309
2025-08-17 0.000098 0.000228 0.000452 0.000829 0.001415 0.002252 0.003490
2025-08-24 0.000083 0.000206 0.000423 0.000802 0.001403 0.002275 0.003582
2025-08-31 0.000070 0.000185 0.000398 0.000777 0.001392 0.002297 0.003672
2025-09-07 0.000063 0.000174 0.000386 0.000775 0.001415 0.002369 0.003834
2025-09-14 0.000056 0.000164 0.000376 0.000773 0.001438 0.002442 0.003999
2025-09-21 0.000049 0.000152 0.000361 0.000763 0.001447 0.002493 0.004132
2025-09-28 0.000042 0.000139 0.000345 0.000748 0.001446 0.002529 0.004243
2025-10-05 0.000039 0.000136 0.000346 0.000765 0.001501 0.002650 0.004481
2025-10-12 0.000036 0.000132 0.000345 0.000777 0.001545 0.002756 0.004700
2025-10-19 0.000032 0.000123 0.000333 0.000768 0.001554 0.002808 0.004837
2025-10-26 0.000027 0.000113 0.000318 0.000754 0.001552 0.002842 0.004947